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will person perform at event? on Kalshi
If Zach Bryan performs (or it is announced that they will perform) at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: official broadcaster of <event>, Fox News, MSNBC, ABC, CBS, Billboard, Variety, Rolling Stone, CNN, MTV, Reuters, <performer>, official <event> website, Entertainment Weekly, Deadline, the Associated Press, The Hollywood Reporter, official social media accounts of confirmed performers.
Market says (typical open contract)
10%
Median YES price across 133 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
20% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10¢ (now) | 0.6¢ | $3.15 | 10.6% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will sombr perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · sombr | 37¢ | 37% | 1.6¢ | — | 74% | 1,364 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Billie Eilish | 75¢ | 75% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 1,191 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dua Lipa perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Dua Lipa | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 1,083 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ella Langley perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Ella Langley | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 1,023 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Justin Bieber perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Justin Bieber | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 962 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Tate McRae | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 368 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will KATSEYE perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · KATSEYE | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 206 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Olivia Dean perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Olivia Dean | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 167 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Travis Scott perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Travis Scott | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 161 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fred again.. perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Fred again.. | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 153 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fall Out Boy perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Fall Out Boy | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 125 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Calvin Harris perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Calvin Harris | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 95 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Charli xcx perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Charli xcx | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 94 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Day perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Green Day | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 93 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Joji perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Joji | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 76 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Don Toliver perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Don Toliver | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 44% | 76 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sam Smith perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Sam Smith | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 66 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BLACKPINK perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · BLACKPINK | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 54 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Alex Warren perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Alex Warren | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 36 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Bad Bunny | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 32 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Stray Kids perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Stray Kids | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 30 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ice Spice perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Ice Spice | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 20 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lola Young perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Lola Young | 21¢ | 21% | 1.2¢ | — | 42% | 20 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lil Uzi Vert perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Lil Uzi Vert | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 12 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will David Guetta perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · David Guetta | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 12 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will 21 Savage perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · 21 Savage | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 6 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will BTS perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · BTS | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Zach Bryan perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Zach Bryan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will YoungBoy Never Broke Again perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · YoungBoy Never Broke Again | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lil Yachty perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Lil Yachty | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Weeknd perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · The Weeknd | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Lil Wayne perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Lil Wayne | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will USHER perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · USHER | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyla perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Tyla | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyler, The Creator perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Tyler, The Creator | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tyga perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Tyga | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Trippie Redd perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Trippie Redd | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will T-Pain perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · T-Pain | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Justin Timberlake perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Justin Timberlake | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Young Thug perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027? · Young Thug | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 133 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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