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Who will perform the next james Bond song on Kalshi
If Raye performs the James Bond film theme, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Billboard, Bloomberg News, Deadline, official credits of the release, official production company or studio releasing song, official websites or social media accounts of the production, performer, Reuters, Rolling Stone, the Associated Press, The Hollywood Reporter, The New York Times, the Recording Industry Association of America, Variety.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Dua Lipa | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 9,513 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Lana Del Rey | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 8,829 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Olivia Dean | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 5,837 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Oasis | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,547 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Raye | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 3,067 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Lady Gaga | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 1,843 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · The Weeknd | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 1,254 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Taylor Swift | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,121 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Sabrina Carpenter | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 932 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Harry Styles | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 911 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Lorde | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 874 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Ed Sheeran | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 599 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Sam Fender | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 586 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Miley Cyrus | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 547 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Chappell Roan | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 474 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · SZA | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 419 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Ariana Grande | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 306 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Coldplay | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 156 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Beyonce | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 142 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Elton John | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 80 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · Lewis Capaldi | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 67 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will perform the next James Bond Song? · U2 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 60 | Jan 01, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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