What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 1¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 1%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

PGA Round 1 Leader on Kalshi

If Zecheng Dou is the leader at the end of Round 1 in the 2026 Austin Championship presented by Compliance Solutions, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: the Governing League.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 111 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Tom Hoge leads at the end of Round 1 · Tom Hoge	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	0%	22,898	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Chris Kirk leads at the end of Round 1 · Chris Kirk	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	14,679	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Adrien Dumont De Chassart leads at the end of Round 1 · Adrien Dumont De Chassart	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,336	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Matthieu Pavon leads at the end of Round 1 · Matthieu Pavon	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	4,269	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Emiliano Grillo leads at the end of Round 1 · Emiliano Grillo	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	4,269	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Kensei Hirata leads at the end of Round 1 · Kensei Hirata	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	3%	4,134	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Chad Ramey leads at the end of Round 1 · Chad Ramey	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,082	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Taylor Moore leads at the end of Round 1 · Taylor Moore	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	3,773	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Sami Valimaki leads at the end of Round 1 · Sami Valimaki	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	3,749	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Mac Meissner leads at the end of Round 1 · Mac Meissner	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,711	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Lucas Glover leads at the end of Round 1 · Lucas Glover	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,497	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jesper Svensson leads at the end of Round 1 · Jesper Svensson	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	3,478	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
John VanDerLaan leads at the end of Round 1 · John VanDerLaan	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,446	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Mackenzie Hughes leads at the end of Round 1 · Mackenzie Hughes	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,400	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Lee Hodges leads at the end of Round 1 · Lee Hodges	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,103	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
William Mouw leads at the end of Round 1 · William Mouw	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,000	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jackson Koivun leads at the end of Round 1 · Jackson Koivun	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,929	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Zac Blair leads at the end of Round 1 · Zac Blair	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,700	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Pontus Nyholm leads at the end of Round 1 · Pontus Nyholm	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,700	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Jeffrey Kang leads at the end of Round 1 · Jeffrey Kang	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,700	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Hayden Springer leads at the end of Round 1 · Hayden Springer	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,700	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Trace Crowe leads at the end of Round 1 · Trace Crowe	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,657	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Zecheng Dou leads at the end of Round 1 · Zecheng Dou	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,600	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Max McGreevy leads at the end of Round 1 · Max McGreevy	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,600	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Chandler Phillips leads at the end of Round 1 · Chandler Phillips	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,570	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Alejandro Tosti leads at the end of Round 1 · Alejandro Tosti	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,568	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Daniel Berger leads at the end of Round 1 · Daniel Berger	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,556	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Matt McCarty leads at the end of Round 1 · Matt McCarty	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,485	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Ben Kohles leads at the end of Round 1 · Ben Kohles	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,484	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Kevin Roy leads at the end of Round 1 · Kevin Roy	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,480	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Patrick Fishburn leads at the end of Round 1 · Patrick Fishburn	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,429	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Isaiah Salinda leads at the end of Round 1 · Isaiah Salinda	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,429	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Max Homa leads at the end of Round 1 · Max Homa	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,416	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Kevin Yu leads at the end of Round 1 · Kevin Yu	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,405	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Erik Van Rooyen leads at the end of Round 1 · Erik Van Rooyen	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,401	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Justin Lower leads at the end of Round 1 · Justin Lower	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,400	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
David Lipsky leads at the end of Round 1 · David Lipsky	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,400	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Gordon Sargent leads at the end of Round 1 · Gordon Sargent	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,353	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Seamus Power leads at the end of Round 1 · Seamus Power	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	2,211	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC
Taylor Pendrith leads at the end of Round 1 · Taylor Pendrith	1¢	1%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,200	Nov 29, 00:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 111 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.