What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 22¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.71.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 24% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 22%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Palantir KPI on Kalshi

If Palantir Technologies Inc. reports Above 1300 total customer count in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

22%

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

45% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
23¢ (now)	1.2¢	$2.70	24.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1100 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1100	93¢	93%	0.5¢	—	14%	6,281	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1200 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1200	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	45%	4,822	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1160 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1160	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	81%	2,465	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1120 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1120	78¢	78%	1.2¢	—	43%	2,458	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1300 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1300	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	1,864	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1180 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1180	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	49%	1,598	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1140 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1140	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	1,572	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1220 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1220	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	1,240	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1260 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1260	5¢	5%	0.3¢	—	10%	589	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1240 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1240	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	531	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report Above 1280 total customer count in 2026? · Above 1280	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	367	Mar 31, 05:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.