Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
what will the price of card be on Kalshi
If the Ungraded Price of the Pikachu ex on Collectr is above $594.25 on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Collectr.
Market says (typical open contract)
25%
Median YES price across 25 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
50% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $2.63 | 26.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ungraded Price of the Pikachu ex on Collectr be above $594.25 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $594.25 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 323 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mega Charizard X ex on Collectr be above $25.63 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $25.63 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 121 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Charizard ex on Collectr be above $300.78 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $300.78 | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 100 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mew on Collectr be above $4152.8 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $4152.8 | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 100 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Charizard on Collectr be above $155.37 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $155.37 | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 71 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Ascended Heroes Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) on Collectr be above $325.5 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $325.5 | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 47 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box on Collectr be above $121.35 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $121.35 | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 18 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mewtwo ex on Collectr be above $32.69 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $32.69 | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 17 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Pikachu ex - 109 (30th Celebration) on Collectr be above $103.56 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $103.56 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 13 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the 30th Celebration Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box on Collectr be above $274.94 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $274.94 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 9 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mew on Collectr be above $3529.24 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $3529.24 | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mega Gengar ex on Collectr be above $710.52 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $710.52 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mega Charizard X ex Ultra Premium Collection on Collectr be above $219.53 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $219.53 | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection on Collectr be above $1206.87 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $1206.87 | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Blooming Waters Premium Collection on Collectr be above $323.29 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $323.29 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the 151 Ultra-Premium Collection on Collectr be above $832.19 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $832.19 | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the First Partner Illustration Collection (Series 1) on Collectr be above $58.52 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $58.52 | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Ascended Heroes Elite Trainer Box on Collectr be above $124.75 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $124.75 | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Perfect Order Booster Box on Collectr be above $173.16 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $173.16 | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Gengar (Cosmos Holo) (EB Games Exclusive) on Collectr be above $171.26 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $171.26 | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 64% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Squirtle on Collectr be above $22.76 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $22.76 | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Bulbasaur on Collectr be above $17.79 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $17.79 | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 79% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Charmander on Collectr be above $26.76 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $26.76 | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mew ex on Collectr be above $45.54 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $45.54 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ungraded Price of the Mew on Collectr be above $4678.5 on Nov 30, 2026? · Above $4678.5 | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 0 | Dec 01, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.