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How many pure album sales will album have on Kalshi
If Sweet Action II by Jack Harlow has above 8K Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Luminate.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 91 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 49¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.79 | 50.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 240000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 240K | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 6,464 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 80000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 80K | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 4,760 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 400000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 400K | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 2,345 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 8000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 8K | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,138 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 160000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 160K | 56¢ | 56% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 1,843 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 320000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 320K | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 1,617 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 200000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 200K | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 1,173 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 340000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 340K | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 892 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 180000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 180K | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 889 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 2000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 2K | 74¢ | 74% | 1.4¢ | — | 53% | 725 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 280000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 280K | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 719 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 360000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 360K | 15¢ | 15% | 0.9¢ | — | 30% | 715 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 300000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 300K | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 703 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Swallow! by Shygirl have above 8000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 8K | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 662 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 220000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 220K | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 624 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 260000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 260K | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 525 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 120000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 120K | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 484 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 100000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 100K | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 429 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 60000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 60K | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 418 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 140000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 140K | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 84% | 415 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 40000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 40K | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 383 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 380000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 380K | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 239 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 20000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week? · Above 20K | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 229 | Nov 29, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Swallow! by Shygirl have above 1000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 1K | 55¢ | 55% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 204 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carnaval De Luz by U2 have above 80000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 80K | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 158 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carnaval De Luz by U2 have above 70000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 70K | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 158 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 4000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 4K | 60¢ | 60% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 147 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carnaval De Luz by U2 have above 90000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 90K | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 126 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 5000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 5K | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 125 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 3000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 3K | 54¢ | 54% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 122 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 30000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 30K | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 87% | 115 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 1000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 1K | 93¢ | 93% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 106 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 10000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 10K | 57¢ | 57% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 100 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Swallow! by Shygirl have above 4000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 4K | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 76 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 12000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 12K | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 60 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Swallow! by Shygirl have above 3000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 3K | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 42 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 25000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 25K | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 39 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will FRESH by Lil Baby have above 5000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week? · Above 5K | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 36 | Nov 15, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album by The Hunger Games have above 15000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 15K | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 20 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will REBECCA by Becky Hill have above 6000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week? · Above 6K | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 14 | Nov 22, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 91 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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