What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Climate and Weather

Where will it rain daily on Kalshi

If the total precipitation at CLIDJT in West Palm Beach in Nov 10, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: The Weather Company.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 68 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will it rain in College Station on Nov 9, 2026? · College Station	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	148,855	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Miami on Nov 9, 2026? · Miami	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	95,443	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Dallas on Nov 9, 2026? · Dallas	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	74,613	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Boston on Nov 9, 2026? · Boston	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	64,082	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Houston on Nov 9, 2026? · Houston	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	50,471	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Providence on Nov 9, 2026? · Providence	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	36,109	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in New Orleans on Nov 9, 2026? · New Orleans	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	30,126	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Austin on Nov 9, 2026? · Austin	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	27,770	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in New York City on Nov 9, 2026? · New York City	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	24,987	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Trenton on Nov 9, 2026? · Trenton	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	12,560	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Chicago on Nov 9, 2026? · Chicago	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,920	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Pittsburgh on Nov 9, 2026? · Pittsburgh	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,896	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Newark on Nov 9, 2026? · Newark	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	10,035	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Philadelphia on Nov 9, 2026? · Philadelphia	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	9,834	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Seattle on Nov 9, 2026? · Seattle	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	8,541	Nov 10, 08:00 UTC
Will it rain in Austin on Nov 10, 2026? · Austin	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	89%	8,455	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in San Antonio on Nov 10, 2026? · San Antonio	52¢	52%	1.7¢	—	97%	8,333	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Houston on Nov 10, 2026? · Houston	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	61%	8,226	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Nov 9, 2026? · West Palm Beach	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,950	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in San Francisco on Nov 9, 2026? · San Francisco	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,646	Nov 10, 08:00 UTC
Will it rain in Dallas on Nov 10, 2026? · Dallas	29¢	29%	1.4¢	—	57%	7,262	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in San Antonio on Nov 9, 2026? · San Antonio	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,221	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in New Orleans on Nov 10, 2026? · New Orleans	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	6,604	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Denver on Nov 9, 2026? · Denver	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	5,159	Nov 10, 07:00 UTC
Will it rain in Detroit on Nov 9, 2026? · Detroit	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,135	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in St. Louis on Nov 10, 2026? · St. Louis	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,865	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Minneapolis on Nov 9, 2026? · Minneapolis	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	3,486	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in College Station on Nov 10, 2026? · College Station	32¢	32%	1.5¢	—	64%	3,486	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Providence on Nov 10, 2026? · Providence	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	3,200	Nov 11, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Minneapolis on Nov 10, 2026? · Minneapolis	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	3,028	Nov 11, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Indianapolis on Nov 10, 2026? · Indianapolis	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,636	Nov 11, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Tampa on Nov 9, 2026? · Tampa	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,276	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in West Palm Beach on Nov 10, 2026? · West Palm Beach	28¢	28%	1.4¢	—	55%	2,114	Nov 11, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Miami on Nov 10, 2026? · Miami	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	2,102	Nov 11, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Milwaukee on Nov 9, 2026? · Milwaukee	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	2,085	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Tampa on Nov 10, 2026? · Tampa	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	2,080	Nov 11, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Seattle on Nov 10, 2026? · Seattle	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	2,066	Nov 11, 08:00 UTC
Will it rain in Washington DC on Nov 9, 2026? · Washington DC	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,719	Nov 10, 05:00 UTC
Will it rain in Oklahoma City on Nov 9, 2026? · Oklahoma City	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	1,671	Nov 10, 06:00 UTC
Will it rain in Boston on Nov 10, 2026? · Boston	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	1,445	Nov 11, 05:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 68 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.