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TOP FANTASY FOOTBALL TE on Kalshi
If Sam LaPorta is the #1 scoring TE on ESPN Fantasy Football PPR Tight End Rankings in the 2026-2027 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN Fantasy.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Colston Loveland | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 11,979 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Brock Bowers | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 9,497 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · George Kittle | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 7,158 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Tyler Warren | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,968 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Trey McBride | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 6,481 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Isaiah Likely | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 6,403 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Dalton Kincaid | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,117 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Tucker Kraft | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4,418 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Travis Kelce | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,784 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Dallas Goedert | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,625 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Jake Ferguson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,159 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Harold Fannin Jr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,028 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Sam LaPorta | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,958 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Mark Andrews | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,786 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Kyle Pitts Sr. | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 971 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · T.J. Hockenson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 607 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Hunter Henry | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 42 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Kenyon Sadiq | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 37 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
| Who will be Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Season Top TE? · Oronde Gadsden | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10 | Feb 01, 06:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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