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worst football record on Kalshi
If Washington has the worst regular season record in Pro Football in the 2026-27 Pro Football Season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles C have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles C | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 297,922 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Miami have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Miami | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 255,498 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Arizona have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Arizona | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 166,072 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York G have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New York G | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 156,625 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New York J have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New York J | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 153,038 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tennessee have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Tennessee | 22¢ | 22% | 1.2¢ | — | 43% | 150,664 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cleveland have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Cleveland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 135,620 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Las Vegas have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Las Vegas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 128,309 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Atlanta have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Atlanta | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 104,036 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Philadelphia have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Philadelphia | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 84,040 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Indianapolis have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Indianapolis | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 83,534 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New Orleans have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New Orleans | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 81,422 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Washington have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Washington | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 62,818 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Carolina have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Carolina | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 46,001 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tampa Bay have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Tampa Bay | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 41,487 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Houston have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Houston | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 36,218 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Green Bay have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Green Bay | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 32,474 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Dallas have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Dallas | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 29,537 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will San Francisco have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · San Francisco | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 20,698 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Pittsburgh have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Pittsburgh | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,493 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Minnesota have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Minnesota | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 19,265 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will New England have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · New England | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 16,318 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Buffalo have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Buffalo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 11,227 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Seattle have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Seattle | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,310 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Denver have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Denver | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,954 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chicago have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Chicago | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,898 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kansas City have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Kansas City | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,584 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Baltimore have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Baltimore | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,514 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Cincinnati have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Cincinnati | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,024 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Detroit have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Detroit | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,465 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Angeles R have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Los Angeles R | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,045 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Jacksonville have the worst regular season record in the 2026-27 season? · Jacksonville | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2,918 | Feb 22, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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