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Rocket Lab Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Rocket Lab Corporation reports Above 22 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
16%
Median YES price across 12 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
32% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16¢ (now) | 0.9¢ | $2.94 | 16.9% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 24 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 24 | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 630 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 28 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 28 | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 415 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 25 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 25 | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 266 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 27 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 27 | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 32% | 254 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 33 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 33 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 6 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 29 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 29 | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 5 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 26 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 26 | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 5 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 22 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 22 | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 23 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 23 | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 59% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 32 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 32 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 31 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 31 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Rocket Lab Corporation report Above 30 vehicles launched in fiscal 2026? · Above 30 | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | May 26, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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