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Rogue Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Rogue Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 74 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
62%
Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
76% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 62¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $1.33 | 63.6% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 68.5 ? · Above 68.5 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 3,830 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 67.5 ? · Above 67.5 | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 2,605 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 66.5 ? · Above 66.5 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,292 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 68 ? · Above 68 | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 1,793 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 69 ? · Above 69 | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 61% | 1,068 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 70 ? · Above 70 | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 460 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 69.5 ? · Above 69.5 | 62¢ | 62% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 260 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 71 ? · Above 71 | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 40 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 74 ? · Above 74 | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 73 ? · Above 73 | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Rogue Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 72 ? · Above 72 | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 0 | Dec 03, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.