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WHO WILL HOST THE GRAMMY AWARDS on Kalshi
If Trevor Noah is the Host at The 69th Grammy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: official account of <person>, ABC, in hierarchical order, Fox News, Vogue, Rolling Stone, The Source Agencies are, MSNBC, BBC, Reuters, organizers of <event>, media partners of <event>, CNN, Billboard, NBC, the Associated Press, CBS, Variety, The New York Times, Bloomberg News.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $3.25 | 7.5% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jimmy Kimmel be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Jimmy Kimmel | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 76% | 799 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Nikki Glaser be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Nikki Glaser | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 721 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Conan O'Brien be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Conan O'Brien | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 679 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Nicki Minaj be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Nicki Minaj | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 523 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Trevor Noah be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Trevor Noah | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 408 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Jennifer Hudson be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Jennifer Hudson | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 349 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Seth Meyers be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Seth Meyers | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 328 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Kelly Clarkson be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Kelly Clarkson | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 63% | 325 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will LL Cool J be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · LL Cool J | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 224 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
| Will Kevin Hart be Host at The 69th Grammy Awards? · Kevin Hart | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 184 | Mar 31, 03:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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