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SailGP Championship on Kalshi
If United States SailGP Team wins the 2026 SailGP Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ABC, SailGP, Fox Sports, ESPN, AP, The Wall Street Journal.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 13 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bonds Flying Roos win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Bonds Flying Roos | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 7,167 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Los Gallos win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Los Gallos | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 6,102 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will United States SailGP Team win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · United States SailGP Team | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 5,267 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Artemis SailGP Team win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Artemis SailGP Team | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 3,785 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Emirates GBR win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Emirates GBR | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 3,519 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Red Bull Italy win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Red Bull Italy | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 1,804 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will France SailGP Team win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · France SailGP Team | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,645 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Rockwool Racing win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Rockwool Racing | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 986 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Black Foils win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Black Foils | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 964 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Switzerland SailGP Team win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Switzerland SailGP Team | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 860 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will NorthStar Canada win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · NorthStar Canada | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 613 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Mubadala Brazil win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Mubadala Brazil | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 597 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Germany SailGP Team win the 2026 SailGP Championship? · Germany SailGP Team | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 188 | Dec 21, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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