What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 3¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.40.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 3%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Pro Football Championship Host on Kalshi

If the Washington Pro Football team is announced as the host of the 2031 Pro Football Championship and confirmed by any of the Source Agencies, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Semafor, ABC, Bloomberg, NBC, The Washington Post, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Fox News, Reuters, The Information, Politico, Axios, MSNBC, CNN, the New York Times, CBS.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 26 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

6% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will the New Orleans Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · New Orleans	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	27%	852	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Jacksonville Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Jacksonville	14¢	14%	0.8¢	—	28%	731	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Cleveland Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Cleveland	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	345	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Seattle Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Seattle	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	278	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Minnesota Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Minnesota	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	246	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Buffalo Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Buffalo	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	214	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the New England Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · New England	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	155	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Tampa Bay Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Tampa Bay	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	153	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Carolina Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Carolina	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	153	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Miami Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Miami	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	117	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the New York G / New York J Pro Football teams be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · New York G / New York J	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	109	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Washington Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Washington	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	58	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the San Francisco Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · San Francisco	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	45	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Dallas Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Dallas	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	45	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Cincinnati Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Cincinnati	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	43	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Pittsburgh Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Pittsburgh	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	12	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Las Vegas Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Las Vegas	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	6	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Los Angeles C / Los Angeles R Pro Football teams be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Los Angeles C / Los Angeles R	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	6	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Baltimore Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Baltimore	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	5	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Kansas City Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Kansas City	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Indianapolis Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Indianapolis	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Houston Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Houston	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Detroit Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Detroit	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Denver Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Denver	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Atlanta Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Atlanta	4¢	4%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC
Will the Arizona Pro Football team be announced as the host for the 2031 Pro Football Championship? · Arizona	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	0	Jan 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.