What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 6¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.31.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 6% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 6%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Elections

Serbian PM after next election on Kalshi

If Dejan Bodiroga becomes Prime Minister of Serbia as a result of government formation following the next Serbian general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: parliament or legislature of <country>, official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country>, office of the head of state of <country>, major national news outlets of <country>, Financial Times, the Associated Press, official government websites of <country>, Reuters, The Guardian, BBC, The Washington Post, Bloomberg News, The New York Times.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

11% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
6¢ (now)	0.4¢	$3.29	6.4%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Aleksandar Vučić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Aleksandar Vučić	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	26,566	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Ilija Srdanović become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Ilija Srdanović	7¢	7%	0.5¢	—	14%	9,737	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Ana Brnabić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Ana Brnabić	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	5,977	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Dejan Šoškić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Dejan Šoškić	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	88%	4,778	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Radomir Saičić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Radomir Saičić	12¢	12%	0.8¢	—	25%	2,040	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Dejan Bodiroga become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Dejan Bodiroga	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	1,743	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Stefan Krkobabić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Stefan Krkobabić	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	1,389	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Miloš Vučević become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Miloš Vučević	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	1,117	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Dragan Đilas become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Dragan Đilas	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	120	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC
Will Ivica Dačić become Prime Minister of Serbia following the next Serbian general election? · Ivica Dačić	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	69	Dec 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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