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Sweden SBL Game on Kalshi
If Sodertalje BBK wins the Sodertalje BBK vs BC Lulea men's professional Swedish Basketball League basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 13, 2026 at 1:04 PM EST, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: EuroBasket, Sofascore, Flashscore.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamtland Basket wins · Jamtland Basket | 74¢ | 74% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 791 | Nov 12, 18:04 UTC |
| Koping Stars wins · Koping Stars | 25¢ | 25% | 1.3¢ | — | 50% | 106 | Nov 12, 18:04 UTC |
| Sodertalje BBK wins · Sodertalje BBK | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 6 | Nov 12, 18:04 UTC |
| Norrkoping Dolphins wins · Norrkoping Dolphins | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 3 | Nov 12, 18:04 UTC |
| Sodertalje BBK wins · Sodertalje BBK | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| BC Lulea wins · BC Lulea | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Koping Stars wins · Koping Stars | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Boraas Basket wins · Boraas Basket | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Uppsala Basket wins · Uppsala Basket | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| KFUM Umea wins · KFUM Umea | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Norrkoping Dolphins wins · Norrkoping Dolphins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Nassjo Basket wins · Nassjo Basket | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Jamtland Basket wins · Jamtland Basket | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Hogsbo Basket wins · Hogsbo Basket | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | Nov 15, 18:04 UTC |
| Uppsala Basket wins · Uppsala Basket | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:04 UTC |
| Nassjo Basket wins · Nassjo Basket | 16¢ | 16% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 0 | Nov 12, 18:04 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.