What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Crypto

Shiba price Above/below on Kalshi

If the simple average of the 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' Shiba Inu-Dollar Spot Rate (SHIBUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EST is above 0.000013499 at 5 PM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: CF Benchmarks.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 27 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000135 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000013 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000125 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000012 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000115 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000011 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000105 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.00001 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000095 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000009 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000085 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000008 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000075 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000007 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000065 or above	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000006 or above	38¢	38%	1.6¢	—	76%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000055 or above	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	89%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000005 or above	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000045 or above	50¢	50%	1.8¢	—	100%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000004 or above	70¢	70%	1.5¢	—	60%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000035 or above	65¢	65%	1.6¢	—	70%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000003 or above	60¢	60%	1.7¢	—	80%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000025 or above	58¢	58%	1.7¢	—	83%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000002 or above	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000015 or above	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.000001 or above	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC
Shiba Inu price on Nov 10, 2026? · $0.0000005 or above	100¢	100%	0.0¢	—	1%	Nov 10, 22:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.