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SNL hosts this season on Kalshi
If Will Forte is announced as the host of an episode of Saturday Night Live Season 52 before Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Saturday Night Live.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 53 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
12% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Taylor Swift | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 19% | 22,177 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Timothée Chalamet | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 1,594 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Pedro Pascal | 42¢ | 42% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 995 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Travis Kelce | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 761 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Gracie Abrams | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 657 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Sydney Sweeney | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 465 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Ryan Gosling | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 49% | 413 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Miley Cyrus | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 382 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Alex Warren | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 367 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Jenna Ortega | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 350 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Glen Powell | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 219 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · MrBeast | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 206 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Quinta Brunson | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 204 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Donald Glover (a.k.a. Childish Gambino) | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 189 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Keke Palmer | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 52% | 186 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Noah Kahan | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 148 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Olivia Rodrigo | 14¢ | 14% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 141 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Patrick Mahomes | 5¢ | 5% | 0.3¢ | — | 10% | 140 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Jennifer Lawrence | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 27% | 69 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Chappell Roan | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 65 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Tate McRae | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 55 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Reneé Rapp | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 25 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Steve Carell | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 9 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Ali Wong | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 8 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Pete Davidson | 17¢ | 17% | 1.0¢ | — | 34% | 4 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · PinkPantheress | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Dominic Fike | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Jacob Collier | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Will Forte | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Tina Fey | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 58% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · John Mulaney | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Bowen Yang | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · SZA | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Simone Biles | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Serena Williams | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Sarah Silverman | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Ramy Youssef | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Peso Pluma | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Paul Rudd | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
| Who will host Saturday Night Live Season 52? · Margot Robbie | 9¢ | 9% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 0 | Dec 31, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 53 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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