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SOL price end of 2026? on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' SOLUSD_RTI is above $49.99 at 12 AM EST on Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
4%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
7% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4¢ (now) | 0.3¢ | $3.36 | 4.3% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 100 or above | 39¢ | 39% | 1.7¢ | — | 78% | 64,997 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 150 or above | 7¢ | 7% | 0.5¢ | — | 14% | 60,677 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 200 or above | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 46,007 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 250 or above | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 8,266 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 450 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 7,841 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 350 or above | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 7,023 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 400 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 5,464 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · 300 or above | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 2,613 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
| SOL price on Jan 1, 2027? · $50 or above | 97¢ | 97% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 52 | Jan 01, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.