Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Online Sportsbook Ad Spend on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Online Sportsbook Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 85 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
92%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
15% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
| 93¢ (now) | 0.5¢ | $0.24 | 93.5% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 33 ? · Above 33 | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 5,193 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 268.5 ? · Above 268.5 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,000 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 129 ? · Above 129 | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 1,472 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 104 ? · Above 104 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 1,012 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 54 ? · Above 54 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 309 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 163.5 ? · Above 163.5 | 38¢ | 38% | 1.7¢ | — | 77% | 246 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 85 ? · Above 85 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 5 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Online Sportsbook Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 68.5 ? · Above 68.5 | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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