What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.41.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 3% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

STEAM Top Sellers on Kalshi

If War Thunder is ranked #1 on Steam's USA Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Steam Weekly Top Sellers.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 20 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

5% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
3¢ (now)	0.2¢	$3.40	3.2%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Call of Duty®: Modern Warfare® 4	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	3%	4,289	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Phantom Blade Zero be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Phantom Blade Zero	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	2,431	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Cyberpunk 2077 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Cyberpunk 2077	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	756	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will AION 2 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · AION 2	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	205	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Steam Deck be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Steam Deck	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	18	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Counter-Strike 2 be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Counter-Strike 2	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	8	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will War Thunder be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · War Thunder	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will WARDOGS be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · WARDOGS	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Warframe be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Warframe	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Rust be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Rust	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Probably Stolen - Cyberpunk Shopkeeper Sim be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Probably Stolen - Cyberpunk Shopkeeper Sim	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Moon Sweepers be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Moon Sweepers	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Marvel Rivals be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Marvel Rivals	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will MapleStory be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · MapleStory	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will FINAL FANTASY RESONANCE be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · FINAL FANTASY RESONANCE	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Enshrouded be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Enshrouded	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Dead by Daylight be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Dead by Daylight	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Crimson Desert Enhanced: Charting the Unknown be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Crimson Desert Enhanced: Charting the Unknown	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Crimson Desert Enhanced be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Crimson Desert Enhanced	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Aniimo be #1 on Steam's Weekly Top Sellers - Top 100 products by revenue list for Nov 3 - Nov 10, 2026? · Aniimo	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	0	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.