What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 0¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.48.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 1% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 0%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

TOP ARTIST USA on Kalshi

If Harry Styles is the #1 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Spotify.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

1% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Ella Langley be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Ella Langley	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	826,365	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Drake be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Drake	90¢	90%	0.7¢	—	21%	327,914	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Bad Bunny	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	309,928	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Taylor Swift be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Taylor Swift	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	294,699	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Bruno Mars be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Bruno Mars	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	260,218	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will BTS be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · BTS	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	73,744	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will The Weeknd be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · The Weeknd	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	52,357	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Kendrick Lamar	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	45,328	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Morgan Wallen be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Morgan Wallen	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	44,011	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Kanye West / Ye	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	25,339	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Beyoncé be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Beyoncé	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	19,046	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Sabrina Carpenter	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	16,356	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Harry Styles be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Harry Styles	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	8,848	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Zach Bryan be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Zach Bryan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	6,305	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Djo be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Djo	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,727	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC
Will Chappell Roan be the #1 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist U.S chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026? · Chappell Roan	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	4,589	Dec 31, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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