What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $3.45.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Top podcast of the year on Kalshi

If The Tucker Carlson Show is the top podcast on Spotify for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Spotify Charts.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 10 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

3% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
1¢ (now)	0.1¢	$3.47	1.1%
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · The Joe Rogan Experience	95¢	95%	0.3¢	—	10%	4,755	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	3%	2,134	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	1,287	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · Crime Junkie	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	1,123	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · The Tucker Carlson Show	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	784	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · Call Her Daddy	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	742	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · Huberman Lab	2¢	2%	0.1¢	—	4%	687	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · The Mel Robbins Podcast	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	284	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · On Purpose with Jay Shetty	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	282	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC
What will the top podcast of 2026 be on Spotify? · Modern Wisdom	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	162	Mar 31, 15:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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