What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 72¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.96.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 74% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 72%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Politics

Trump meet monthly on Kalshi

If Donald Trump and Zohran Mamdani meet (including phone calls) in Nov 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Deutsche Welle, The White House, Associated Press, The Wall Street Journal, Bloomberg News, CNBC, New York Times, POLITICO, NBC, CBS News, BBC, ABC News, The Washington Post, CNN, Fox News, Reuters, Financial Times, ABC News Australia, Al Jazeera English, MSNBC.

Market says (typical open contract)

72%

Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

55% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
72¢ (now)	1.4¢	$0.98	73.4%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Xi Jinping in Nov 2026? · Xi Jinping	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	5,641	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in Nov 2026? · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva	37¢	37%	1.6¢	—	74%	4,118	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Hakeem Jeffries in Nov 2026? · Hakeem Jeffries	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	80%	2,281	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Kim Jong Un in Nov 2026? · Kim Jong Un	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	15%	2,145	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Mark Carney in Nov 2026? · Mark Carney	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	1,915	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Claudia Sheinbaum in Nov 2026? · Claudia Sheinbaum	78¢	78%	1.2¢	—	44%	1,881	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Chuck Schumer in Nov 2026? · Chuck Schumer	45¢	45%	1.7¢	—	90%	1,839	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Volodymyr Zelenskyy in Nov 2026? · Volodymyr Zelenskyy	62¢	62%	1.7¢	—	77%	1,744	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Sanae Takaichi in Nov 2026? · Sanae Takaichi	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	32%	1,742	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Vladimir Putin in Nov 2026? · Vladimir Putin	90¢	90%	0.7¢	—	21%	1,039	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Elon Musk in Nov 2026? · Elon Musk	61¢	61%	1.7¢	—	78%	829	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Mohammed bin Salman in Nov 2026? · Mohammed bin Salman	81¢	81%	1.1¢	—	38%	759	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Narendra Modi in Nov 2026? · Narendra Modi	76¢	76%	1.3¢	—	48%	653	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Lee Jae-myung in Nov 2026? · Lee Jae-myung	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	55%	479	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Zohran Mamdani in Nov 2026? · Zohran Mamdani	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	68%	294	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC
Will Donald Trump meet (including phone calls) Kevin Warsh in Nov 2026? · Kevin Warsh	18¢	18%	1.0¢	—	36%	159	Dec 01, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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