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Will anyone receive payment from Trump’s Anti-Weaponization Fund? on Kalshi
If Michael Caputo has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: The Verge, ABC, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, Bloomberg News, The Information, CBS, South China Morning Post, NBC, BBC, The Washington Post, Axios, CNN, ABC News Australia, The New York Times, Semafor, MSNBC, the Associated Press, CBC, Reuters, Politico.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3¢ (now) | 0.2¢ | $3.40 | 3.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Enrique Tarrio has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027? · Enrique Tarrio | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 22,090 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that anyone has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027? · Anyone | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 11,827 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Michael Caputo has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027? · Michael Caputo | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 10,673 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Kash Patel has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027? · Kash Patel | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 10,662 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Mike Lindell has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027? · Mike Lindell | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 2,616 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
| Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that Hunter Biden has received a monetary payment from the Anti-Weaponization Fund established by the U.S. Department of Justice on May 18, 2026 before Jan 1, 2027? · Hunter Biden | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 454 | Jan 01, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.