Markets › Kalshi › Financials
Uber Eats app downloads on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Uber Eats app downloads (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 98 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
76%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
47% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 76¢ (now) | 1.3¢ | $0.84 | 77.3% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 127.5 ? · Above 127.5 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 8,041 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 110.5 ? · Above 110.5 | 27¢ | 27% | 1.4¢ | — | 54% | 4,882 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 116 ? · Above 116 | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 4,191 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 102 ? · Above 102 | 76¢ | 76% | 1.3¢ | — | 47% | 3,523 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 106.5 ? · Above 106.5 | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 89% | 2,645 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 85.5 ? · Above 85.5 | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 2,039 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 94 ? · Above 94 | 84¢ | 84% | 1.0¢ | — | 33% | 1,018 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Uber Eats app downloads for November 2026 be above 98 ? · Above 98 | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 941 | Dec 08, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.