Markets › Kalshi › Sports
Champions League Leader on Kalshi
If Yan Diomande leads Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fox Sports, Sky Sports, NBC Sports, ESPN, CBS Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
20%
Median YES price across 66 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
41% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $2.77 | 22.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappe lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Kylian Mbappe | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 41% | 56,660 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Raphinha lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Raphinha | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 43,947 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Erling Haaland lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Erling Haaland | 16¢ | 16% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 28,860 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Harry Kane lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Harry Kane | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 24,373 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Yan Diomande lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Yan Diomande | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 21,787 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Lamine Yamal lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Lamine Yamal | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 16,645 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Donyell Malen lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Donyell Malen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 15,084 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ousmane Dembele lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Ousmane Dembele | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 11,072 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ferran Torres lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Ferran Torres | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 9,966 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Olise lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Michael Olise | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,158 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Georges Mikautadze lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Georges Mikautadze | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,882 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Julian Alvarez lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Julian Alvarez | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,692 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Lamine Yamal lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Lamine Yamal | 32¢ | 32% | 1.5¢ | — | 65% | 5,206 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Desire Doue lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Desire Doue | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,014 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Benjamin Sesko lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Benjamin Sesko | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,866 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Carlos Espi lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Carlos Espi | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,066 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Bukayo Saka lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Bukayo Saka | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,494 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Lautaro Martinez lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Lautaro Martinez | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,386 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cody Gakpo lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Cody Gakpo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,184 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Gordon lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Anthony Gordon | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,328 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Viktor Gyokeres lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Viktor Gyokeres | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,288 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jamal Musiala lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Jamal Musiala | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,078 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Michael Olise lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Michael Olise | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 1,611 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Marcus Thuram lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Marcus Thuram | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,066 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Ismael Saibari lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Ismael Saibari | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,056 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Victor Osimhen lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Victor Osimhen | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,031 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kai Havertz lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Kai Havertz | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,031 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rayan Cherki lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Rayan Cherki | 47¢ | 47% | 1.7¢ | — | 94% | 981 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jude Bellingham lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Jude Bellingham | 46¢ | 46% | 1.7¢ | — | 93% | 157 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Pedri lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Pedri | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 97% | 134 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Fermin Lopez lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Fermin Lopez | 38¢ | 38% | 1.6¢ | — | 75% | 134 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Vinicius Junior lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Vinicius Junior | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 96% | 121 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Anthony Gordon lead Champions League in assists for the 2026-27 season? · Anthony Gordon | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 86% | 78 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Vinicius Junior lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Vinicius Junior | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 66 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Luis Diaz lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Luis Diaz | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 66 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 66 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Karim Adeyemi lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Karim Adeyemi | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 66 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jude Bellingham lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Jude Bellingham | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 66 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Alexander Isak lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Alexander Isak | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 66 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Antoine Semenyo lead Champions League in goals for the 2026-27 season? · Antoine Semenyo | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 53 | Jun 13, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 66 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.