What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 64¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.28.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 65% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 64%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

Point Total on Kalshi

If over 5.5 goals are scored in the Roma vs Servette Chenois professional Champions League Womens soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: FIFA.

Market says (typical open contract)

64%

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

73% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
64¢ (now)	1.6¢	$1.26	65.6%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	2,621	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	86¢	86%	0.9¢	—	29%	2,530	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	49%	1,745	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	1,620	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	85¢	85%	0.9¢	—	30%	1,515	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	84%	1,300	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	1,172	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	40¢	40%	1.7¢	—	81%	681	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	69%	599	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	64¢	64%	1.6¢	—	73%	435	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	66¢	66%	1.6¢	—	68%	383	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	54¢	54%	1.7¢	—	93%	302	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 3.5 goals be scored? · Over 3.5 goals scored	44¢	44%	1.7¢	—	87%	260	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	84¢	84%	0.9¢	—	32%	257	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	85¢	85%	0.9¢	—	30%	227	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 2.5 goals be scored? · Over 2.5 goals scored	74¢	74%	1.3¢	—	52%	197	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	48%	129	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	23%	67	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	10¢	10%	0.7¢	—	21%	57	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	22¢	22%	1.2¢	—	44%	44	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	12	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	18¢	18%	1.1¢	—	37%	11	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	1	Nov 12, 17:45 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	34¢	34%	1.6¢	—	67%	0	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Over 1.5 goals scored	90¢	90%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	98¢	98%	0.1¢	—	4%	0	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 5.5 goals be scored? · Over 5.5 goals scored	12¢	12%	0.7¢	—	24%	0	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 4.5 goals be scored? · Over 4.5 goals scored	24¢	24%	1.3¢	—	49%	0	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC
Will over 0.5 goals be scored? · Over 0.5 goals scored	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	6%	0	Nov 12, 20:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.