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UEFA Conference League Winner on Kalshi
If Enschede is the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League champion, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports.
Market says (typical open contract)
1%
Median YES price across 36 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
2% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brighton win the UEFA Conference League? · Brighton | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 5,731 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Conference League? · Monaco | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 1,041 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Atalanta win the UEFA Conference League? · Atalanta | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 856 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Panathinaikos win the UEFA Conference League? · Panathinaikos | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 821 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Ajax win the UEFA Conference League? · Ajax | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 693 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Freiburg win the UEFA Conference League? · Freiburg | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 690 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will IC Escaldes win the UEFA Conference League? · IC Escaldes | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 424 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Thun win the UEFA Conference League? · Thun | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 324 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Riga FC win the UEFA Conference League? · Riga FC | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 324 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Kuopion Palloseura win the UEFA Conference League? · Kuopion Palloseura | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 324 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Iberia win the UEFA Conference League? · Iberia | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 324 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Jablonec win the UEFA Conference League? · Jablonec | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 324 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Uni Craiova win the UEFA Conference League? · Uni Craiova | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 324 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Kairat win the UEFA Conference League? · Kairat | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 315 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Lugano win the UEFA Conference League? · Lugano | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 312 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Trabzonspor win the UEFA Conference League? · Trabzonspor | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 273 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Kauno win the UEFA Conference League? · Kauno | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 267 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will St. Truidense win the UEFA Conference League? · St. Truidense | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 124 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Crvena Zvezda win the UEFA Conference League? · Crvena Zvezda | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 124 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Banja Luka win the UEFA Conference League? · Banja Luka | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 124 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Heart of Midlothian win the UEFA Conference League? · Heart of Midlothian | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 117 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Braga win the UEFA Conference League? · Braga | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 110 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Midtjylland win the UEFA Conference League? · Midtjylland | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 107 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Brann win the UEFA Conference League? · Brann | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 91 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Copenhagen win the UEFA Conference League? · Copenhagen | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 42 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Enschede win the UEFA Conference League? · Enschede | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Pafos win the UEFA Conference League? · Pafos | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Nordsjaelland win the UEFA Conference League? · Nordsjaelland | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Mjallby win the UEFA Conference League? · Mjallby | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Lincoln Red Imps win the UEFA Conference League? · Lincoln Red Imps | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Gent win the UEFA Conference League? · Gent | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Hajduk win the UEFA Conference League? · Hajduk | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Getafe win the UEFA Conference League? · Getafe | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Egnatia Rrogozhine win the UEFA Conference League? · Egnatia Rrogozhine | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will CSKA Sofia win the UEFA Conference League? · CSKA Sofia | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
| Will Aarhus win the UEFA Conference League? · Aarhus | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jun 16, 22:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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