What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 36¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $2.26.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 37% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 36%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Urban Outfitters KPI on Kalshi

If Urban Outfitters, Inc. reports Above 800 total urbn stores in Q3 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Fiscal.ai.

Market says (typical open contract)

36%

Median YES price across 26 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

71% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
35¢ (now)	1.6¢	$2.28	36.6%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 845 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 845	0¢	0%	0.0¢	—	1%	7,055	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 835 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 835	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	3,171	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 825 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 825	9¢	9%	0.6¢	—	18%	3,164	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 820 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 820	36¢	36%	1.6¢	—	71%	2,984	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 840 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 840	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	6%	2,505	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 832 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 832	87¢	87%	0.8¢	—	26%	1,574	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 836 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 836	63¢	63%	1.6¢	—	74%	1,300	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 815 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 815	80¢	80%	1.1¢	—	39%	926	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 834 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 834	73¢	73%	1.4¢	—	54%	800	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report above 830 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 830	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	8%	540	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 800 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 800	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	200	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 805 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 805	97¢	97%	0.2¢	—	7%	200	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 810 total urbn stores in Q3 2027? · Above 810	94¢	94%	0.4¢	—	13%	200	Mar 24, 05:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 848 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 848	4¢	4%	0.3¢	—	9%	129	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 844 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 844	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	50	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 8% total retail segment comparable sales in Q1 2028? · Above 8%	25¢	25%	1.3¢	—	50%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 6% total retail segment comparable sales in Q1 2028? · Above 6%	47¢	47%	1.7¢	—	94%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 4% total retail segment comparable sales in Q1 2028? · Above 4%	72¢	72%	1.4¢	—	56%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 2% total retail segment comparable sales in Q1 2028? · Above 2%	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	16%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 10% total retail segment comparable sales in Q1 2028? · Above 10%	10¢	10%	0.6¢	—	20%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 0% total retail segment comparable sales in Q1 2028? · Above 0%	96¢	96%	0.3¢	—	8%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 850 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 850	3¢	3%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 846 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 846	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	12%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 842 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 842	16¢	16%	0.9¢	—	32%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 840 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 840	27¢	27%	1.4¢	—	54%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC
Will Urban Outfitters, Inc. report Above 838 total urbn stores in Q1 2028? · Above 838	42¢	42%	1.7¢	—	84%	0	Sep 23, 04:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.