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United Rugby Championship Rugby Champion on Kalshi
If Zebre Parma wins the 2026-27 United Rugby Championship championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Flashscore, ESPN, United Rugby Championship, BBC Sport, Sofascore.
Market says (typical open contract)
6%
Median YES price across 16 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
11% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6¢ (now) | 0.4¢ | $3.29 | 6.4% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Glasgow Warriors · Glasgow Warriors | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 44 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: DHL Stormers · DHL Stormers | 26¢ | 26% | 1.3¢ | — | 51% | 15 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Zebre Parma · Zebre Parma | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Ulster · Ulster | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Hollywoodbets Sharks · Hollywoodbets Sharks | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Scarlets · Scarlets | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Ospreys · Ospreys | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Munster · Munster | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: 10bet Lions · 10bet Lions | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Leinster · Leinster | 36¢ | 36% | 1.6¢ | — | 71% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Edinburgh · Edinburgh | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Dragons RFC · Dragons RFC | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Connacht · Connacht | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Cardiff Rugby · Cardiff Rugby | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Vodacom Bulls · Vodacom Bulls | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
| 2026-27 United Rugby Championship Champion: Benetton · Benetton | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 0 | Jun 19, 14:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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