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Number of data centers in USA on Kalshi
If the number of data centers listed by Data Center Map in the United States before the end of 2026 is at least 6,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Data Center Map.
Market says (typical open contract)
23%
Median YES price across 9 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
46% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23¢ (now) | 1.2¢ | $2.70 | 24.2% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United States have at least 5,200 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,200 | 52¢ | 52% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 3,720 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 5,300 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,300 | 59¢ | 59% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 815 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 5,500 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,500 | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 360 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 5,600 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,600 | 31¢ | 31% | 1.5¢ | — | 62% | 205 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 5,400 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,400 | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 93 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 5,700 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,700 | 29¢ | 29% | 1.4¢ | — | 57% | 19 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 5,800 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,800 | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 18 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 6,000 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 6,000 | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 17 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will the United States have at least 5,900 data centers listed in 2026? · At least 5,900 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 12 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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