What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 91¢, about 1¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $0.31.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 92% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 91%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Financials

Velo Point of Sale Growth on Kalshi

If the Carbon Arc Velo Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 277.5 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: Carbon Arc.

Market says (typical open contract)

91%

Median YES price across 11 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

18% 😈

Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%
91¢ (now)	0.6¢	$0.31	91.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Volume	Closes
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 247.5 ? · Above 247.5	15¢	15%	0.9¢	—	30%	14,834	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 225 ? · Above 225	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	9,720	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 221 ? · Above 221	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	5%	5,757	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 233 ? · Above 233	92¢	92%	0.5¢	—	15%	2,629	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 267.5 ? · Above 267.5	6¢	6%	0.4¢	—	11%	2,516	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 217 ? · Above 217	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	2,365	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 237.5 ? · Above 237.5	82¢	82%	1.0¢	—	35%	2,173	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 229 ? · Above 229	91¢	91%	0.6¢	—	18%	1,374	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 277.5 ? · Above 277.5	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	5%	882	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 257.5 ? · Above 257.5	8¢	8%	0.5¢	—	17%	371	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC
Will Velo Point of Sale Growth for November 2026 be above 208 ? · Above 208	96¢	96%	0.2¢	—	7%	0	Dec 03, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.