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WHO WILL PERFORM AT MSG on Kalshi
If The Weeknd performs at Madison Square Garden 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Deadline, ABC, The Source Agencies are, Associated Press, <person>, in hierarchical order, official social media accounts of confirmed performers at <venue> in the same <time period> as <person>, Fox, Variety, Entertainment Weekly, CBS, social media accounts of event organizers at <venue>, NBC, Rolling Stone, the official broadcaster of the event at <venue>, CNN, social media accounts, official <venue> website, Billboard, Reuters, The Hollywood Reporter, the official website.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 34¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $2.31 | 35.6% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Olivia Rodrigo | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 2,478 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Taylor Swift | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 1,461 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Kanye West (Ye) perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Kanye West (Ye) | 28¢ | 28% | 1.4¢ | — | 56% | 1,118 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Bad Bunny | 19¢ | 19% | 1.1¢ | — | 38% | 591 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Sabrina Carpenter | 45¢ | 45% | 1.7¢ | — | 91% | 361 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Tate McRae | 40¢ | 40% | 1.7¢ | — | 80% | 242 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Drake | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 227 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bruno Mars perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Bruno Mars | 41¢ | 41% | 1.7¢ | — | 82% | 224 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ice Spice perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Ice Spice | 12¢ | 12% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 118 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fred again.. perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Fred again.. | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 103 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Weeknd perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · The Weeknd | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 69% | 70 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Chappell Roan perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Chappell Roan | 24¢ | 24% | 1.3¢ | — | 48% | 25 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Travis Scott perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Travis Scott | 44¢ | 44% | 1.7¢ | — | 88% | 10 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Playboi Carti perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Playboi Carti | 30¢ | 30% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 3 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Central Cee perform at Madison Square Garden 2027? · Central Cee | 14¢ | 14% | 0.8¢ | — | 28% | 2 | Jan 07, 15:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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