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Video Games Ad Spend on Kalshi
If the Carbon Arc Video Games Ad Spend (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 94 , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Carbon Arc.
Market says (typical open contract)
18%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
37% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $2.87 | 19.0% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 132.5 ? · Above 132.5 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,263 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 113 ? · Above 113 | 35¢ | 35% | 1.6¢ | — | 70% | 1,787 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 119.5 ? · Above 119.5 | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 1,257 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 94 ? · Above 94 | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 275 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 106.5 ? · Above 106.5 | 72¢ | 72% | 1.4¢ | — | 55% | 39 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 159.5 ? · Above 159.5 | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 0 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 141 ? · Above 141 | 4¢ | 4% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 0 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Video Games Ad Spend for November 2026 be above 125.5 ? · Above 125.5 | 11¢ | 11% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 0 | Dec 06, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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