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who will be eliminated from the voice on Kalshi
If Owen Uffens is officially eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NBC.
Market says (typical open contract)
88%
Median YES price across 28 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
24% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 88¢ (now) | 0.7¢ | $0.42 | 88.7% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joey Henley be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Joey Henley | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 13,528 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will BigCountry be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · BigCountry | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,746 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Koumba Diallo be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Koumba Diallo | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,639 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Brianna Cameron be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Brianna Cameron | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 4,084 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Cade Mower be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Cade Mower | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 3,536 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ferryn & Brinkley be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Ferryn & Brinkley | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 3,375 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Kyle Davis be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Kyle Davis | 20¢ | 20% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 2,837 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Lillie Kolich be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Lillie Kolich | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,525 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Dakota Cohen be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Dakota Cohen | 18¢ | 18% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 2,448 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Lexi Stephens be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Lexi Stephens | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 2,172 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Anna McElroy be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Anna McElroy | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 1,964 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mia Knight be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Mia Knight | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 1,566 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Brandon Diaz be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Brandon Diaz | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 1,060 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Connor Closs be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Connor Closs | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 915 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Everett Bounds be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Everett Bounds | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 12% | 858 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Owen Uffens be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Owen Uffens | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 812 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Amanda Mikkel be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Amanda Mikkel | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 808 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Bryan Jaymes be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Bryan Jaymes | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 15% | 777 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Destinee Monroe be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Destinee Monroe | 91¢ | 91% | 0.6¢ | — | 18% | 611 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Evan James be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Evan James | 90¢ | 90% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 605 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Keiyana Osmond be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Keiyana Osmond | 96¢ | 96% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 116 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Allie Rae be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Allie Rae | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 109 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Kayleigh Mathews be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Kayleigh Mathews | 88¢ | 88% | 0.8¢ | — | 25% | 26 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Marcus Ladden Jr. be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Marcus Ladden Jr. | 89¢ | 89% | 0.7¢ | — | 22% | 9 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Chari be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Chari | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 5 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alt Bloom be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Alt Bloom | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 5 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Brooklyn Marie be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Brooklyn Marie | 87¢ | 87% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 4 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Nina Howland be eliminated from The Voice Season 30 before Nov 10, 2026? · Nina Howland | 88¢ | 88% | 0.7¢ | — | 24% | 0 | Nov 10, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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