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Verizon Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Verizon Communications Inc reports Above 1150000 postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 17 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 750 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 750 thousand | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 9% | 2,475 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1000 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1000 thousand | 49¢ | 49% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 2,221 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 800 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 800 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,744 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 700 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 700 thousand | 94¢ | 94% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 1,537 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 900 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 900 thousand | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 72% | 1,454 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 950 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 950 thousand | 51¢ | 51% | 1.7¢ | — | 98% | 1,258 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 850 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 850 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 1,025 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 600 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 600 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 994 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 650 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 650 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 927 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 400 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 400 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 670 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 500 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 500 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 645 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 550 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 550 thousand | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 36% | 509 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1150 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1150 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1100 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1100 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 1050 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 1050 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 350 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 350 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Verizon Communications Inc report Above 450 thousand postpaid phone net additions in fiscal 2026? · Above 450 thousand | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Apr 27, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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