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Summer Olympics USA Women's Basketball Team on Kalshi
If Veronica Burton is selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: NBC Sports, The Wall Street Journal, CBS Sports, Sports Illustrated, Fox Sports, Bleacher Report, ESPN, The Washington Post, AP, The Athletic, ABC News, Reuters.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 50 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ (now) | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Veronica Burton be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Veronica Burton | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sabrina Ionescu be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Sabrina Ionescu | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sonia Citron be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Sonia Citron | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Sienna Betts be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Sienna Betts | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Shakira Austin be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Shakira Austin | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rickea Jackson be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Rickea Jackson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rhyne Howard be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Rhyne Howard | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Rae Burrell be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Rae Burrell | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Raegan Beers be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Raegan Beers | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Paige Bueckers be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Paige Bueckers | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Olivia Miles be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Olivia Miles | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Napheesa Collier be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Napheesa Collier | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mikaylah Williams be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Mikaylah Williams | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Madison Booker be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Madison Booker | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Mikayla Blakes be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Mikayla Blakes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Monique Billings be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Monique Billings | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Lauren Betts be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Lauren Betts | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kayla Thornton be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Kayla Thornton | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kiki Rice be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Kiki Rice | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kelsey Plum be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Kelsey Plum | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kelsey Mitchell be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Kelsey Mitchell | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kiki Iriafen be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Kiki Iriafen | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Kahleah Copper be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Kahleah Copper | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jackie Young be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Jackie Young | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will JuJu Watkins be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · JuJu Watkins | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jewell Loyd be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Jewell Loyd | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Joyce Edwards be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Joyce Edwards | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Jazzy Davidson be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Jazzy Davidson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Hailey Van Lith be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Hailey Van Lith | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Hannah Hidalgo be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Hannah Hidalgo | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Gianna Kneepkens be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Gianna Kneepkens | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Flau'jae Johnson be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Flau'jae Johnson | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Dearica Hamby be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Dearica Hamby | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cotie McMahon be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Cotie McMahon | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Chelsea Gray be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Chelsea Gray | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Caitlin Clark be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Caitlin Clark | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Cameron Brink be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Cameron Brink | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Brittney Sykes be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Brittney Sykes | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Breanna Stewart be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Breanna Stewart | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
| Will Betnijah Laney-Hamilton be selected to the USA Women's Basketball team for the 2028 Summer Olympics? · Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 0 | Jul 31, 14:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 50 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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