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Boxing Cruiserweight Title on Kalshi
If David Benavidez holds the WBC Cruiserweight Title on Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: ESPN, Fox Sports, WBC Boxing.
Market says (typical open contract)
0%
Median YES price across 19 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
1% 😈
All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1¢ (now) | 0.1¢ | $3.47 | 1.1% |
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · David Benavidez | 84¢ | 84% | 0.9¢ | — | 31% | 1,822 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Jai Opetaia | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 718 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Noel Mikaelian | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 192 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Aloys Youmbi | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Title is vacant | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Ryan Rozicki | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Viddal Riley | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Kevin Ramirez | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Gilberto Ramirez | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yamil Alberto Peralta | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Leonardo Mosquea | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Mateusz Masternak | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Floyd Masson | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Ilunga Makabu | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Badou Jack | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Brandon Glanton | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Yuniel Dorticos | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Michael Cieslak | 10¢ | 10% | 0.6¢ | — | 20% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
| Who will hold the WBC Cruiserweight Title on January 1, 2027? · Chris Billam-Smith | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Jan 01, 19:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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