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WNBA Finals Matchup on Kalshi
If Toronto vs Washington is confirmed to be the matchup in the Women's Pro Basketball Finals in the 2027 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: the Governing League, ESPN.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 105 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Toronto vs Washington · Toronto vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Seattle vs Washington · Seattle vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Seattle vs Toronto · Seattle vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Phoenix vs Washington · Phoenix vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Phoenix vs Toronto · Phoenix vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Phoenix vs Seattle · Phoenix vs Seattle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Portland vs Washington · Portland vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Portland vs Toronto · Portland vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Portland vs Seattle · Portland vs Seattle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Portland vs Phoenix · Portland vs Phoenix | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs Washington · New York vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs Toronto · New York vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs Seattle · New York vs Seattle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs Phoenix · New York vs Phoenix | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: New York vs Portland · New York vs Portland | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Minnesota vs Washington · Minnesota vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Minnesota vs Toronto · Minnesota vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Minnesota vs Seattle · Minnesota vs Seattle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Minnesota vs Phoenix · Minnesota vs Phoenix | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Minnesota vs Portland · Minnesota vs Portland | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Minnesota vs New York · Minnesota vs New York | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Las Vegas vs Washington · Las Vegas vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Las Vegas vs Toronto · Las Vegas vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Las Vegas vs Seattle · Las Vegas vs Seattle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Las Vegas vs Phoenix · Las Vegas vs Phoenix | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Las Vegas vs Portland · Las Vegas vs Portland | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Las Vegas vs New York · Las Vegas vs New York | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Las Vegas vs Minnesota · Las Vegas vs Minnesota | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs Washington · Los Angeles vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs Toronto · Los Angeles vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs Seattle · Los Angeles vs Seattle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs Phoenix · Los Angeles vs Phoenix | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs Portland · Los Angeles vs Portland | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs New York · Los Angeles vs New York | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs Minnesota · Los Angeles vs Minnesota | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Los Angeles vs Las Vegas · Los Angeles vs Las Vegas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Washington · Indiana vs Washington | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Toronto · Indiana vs Toronto | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Seattle · Indiana vs Seattle | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
| 2027 Women's Pro Basketball Finals Matchup: Indiana vs Phoenix · Indiana vs Phoenix | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Dec 08, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 105 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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