What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 49¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.79.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 51% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 49%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Sports

WTA Total Games on Kalshi

If the number of completed games in the full match is above 27.5 in the Coco Gauff vs Linda Noskova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Finals Women Singles Group A, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: WTA.

Market says (typical open contract)

49%

Median YES price across 6 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

98% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
49¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.79	50.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Over 27.5 games · Over 27.5 games	37¢	37%	1.6¢	—	74%	Nov 24, 21:10 UTC
Over 22.5 games · Over 22.5 games	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	96%	Nov 24, 21:10 UTC
Over 17.5 games · Over 17.5 games	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	97%	Nov 24, 21:10 UTC
Over 26.5 games · Over 26.5 games	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 24, 20:00 UTC
Over 21.5 games · Over 21.5 games	55¢	55%	1.7¢	—	91%	Nov 24, 20:00 UTC
Over 16.5 games · Over 16.5 games	49¢	49%	1.7¢	—	98%	Nov 24, 20:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.