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XRP Price above/below on Kalshi
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EST is above 1.3799 at 5 PM EST on Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: CF Benchmarks.
Market says (typical open contract)
82%
Median YES price across 165 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
35% 😈
Mostly decided, says the market. You are paying a fee to collect a few cents the market already agrees on.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 82¢ (now) | 1.0¢ | $0.63 | 83.0% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.23991 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 13% | 4,897 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.13991 or above | 10¢ | 10% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1,426 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.37991 or above | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 592 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $1.09991 or above | 8¢ | 8% | 0.5¢ | — | 17% | 448 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.17991 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 394 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.49991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 375 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.47991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 375 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.39991 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 268 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.11991 or above | 23¢ | 23% | 1.2¢ | — | 46% | 245 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.11991 or above | 34¢ | 34% | 1.6¢ | — | 68% | 118 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.17991 or above | 13¢ | 13% | 0.8¢ | — | 26% | 100 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.25991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 96 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.23991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 96 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $0.91991 or above | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 96 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.19991 or above | 2¢ | 2% | 0.1¢ | — | 4% | 93 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.09991 or above | 43¢ | 43% | 1.7¢ | — | 85% | 84 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.15991 or above | 18¢ | 18% | 1.1¢ | — | 37% | 61 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.05991 or above | 82¢ | 82% | 1.0¢ | — | 35% | 45 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $0.89991 or above | 96¢ | 96% | 0.3¢ | — | 8% | 38 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.31991 or above | 3¢ | 3% | 0.2¢ | — | 6% | 33 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.01991 or above | 86¢ | 86% | 0.9¢ | — | 29% | 28 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.27991 or above | 4¢ | 4% | 0.2¢ | — | 7% | 25 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.05991 or above | 70¢ | 70% | 1.5¢ | — | 60% | 24 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 12am EST? · $1.07991 or above | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 23 | Nov 10, 05:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.07991 or above | 64¢ | 64% | 1.6¢ | — | 73% | 22 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.03991 or above | 80¢ | 80% | 1.1¢ | — | 40% | 22 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.07991 or above | 58¢ | 58% | 1.7¢ | — | 83% | 14 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.55991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 13 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.53991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.51991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 4 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.37991 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 2 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $0.99991 or above | 90¢ | 90% | 0.7¢ | — | 21% | 1 | Nov 13, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.35991 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.33991 or above | 0¢ | 0% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.31991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.29991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.27991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.21991 or above | 1¢ | 1% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.15991 or above | 6¢ | 6% | 0.4¢ | — | 11% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
| Ripple price at Nov 10, 2026 at 5pm EST? · $1.03991 or above | 92¢ | 92% | 0.5¢ | — | 16% | 0 | Nov 10, 22:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 165 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.