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DAILY TOP YOUTUBE VIDEO on Kalshi
If WTF GOIN ranks #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos - United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: YouTube Charts.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 09:57 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTF GOIN rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · WTF GOIN | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Tom MacDonald - "Talk To God" rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Tom MacDonald - "Talk To God" | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Todo Lo Fue rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Todo Lo Fue | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Tina Tuesday rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Tina Tuesday | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will take me home (4 christmas) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · take me home (4 christmas) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will POKITO rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · POKITO | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Mr. Do Something rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Mr. Do Something | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Janice STFU rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Janice STFU | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will I'm The Prize rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · I'm The Prize | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Dai Dai | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Choosin' Texas rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Choosin' Texas | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will BbY WOW rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · BbY WOW | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alma Rota rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Alma Rota | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition) rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
| Will AH HA rank #1 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · AH HA | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 11, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.