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weekly top song on Kalshi
If गुज़ारिश is ranked #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: YouTube Charts.
Market says (typical open contract)
48%
Median YES price across 15 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
95% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 47¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.86 | 48.7% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will गुज़ारिश rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · गुज़ारिश | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will 체포하겠어 rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · 체포하겠어 | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Пешта rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Пешта | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Training Season rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Training Season | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Tarantino rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Tarantino | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will SaWaDiKa rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · SaWaDiKa | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will NEON rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · NEON | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will KALYANI (Remix) rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · KALYANI (Remix) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will FIRESTARTER (feat. Sophie Powers, MIYEON & SOYEON) rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · FIRESTARTER (feat. Sophie Powers, MIYEON & SOYEON) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Dai Dai rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Dai Dai | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Casa Tupka Anthemo (feat. Priyanshi Srivastava) rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Casa Tupka Anthemo (feat. Priyanshi Srivastava) | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will BbY WOW rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · BbY WOW | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Barsaat rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Barsaat | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Alfaaz rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Alfaaz | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
| Will Ala Bolelo rank #1 on YouTube's Weekly Top Songs Global Chart dated Nov 6 - Nov 12, 2026? · Ala Bolelo | 48¢ | 48% | 1.7¢ | — | 95% | 0 | Nov 13, 04:59 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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