What is the fee on Kalshi for this market?

At the current typical price of 48¢, about 2¢ per contract (7% × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity). On a $50 trade that is about $1.84.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 49% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 48%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment

Runner up Daily Top Music Video on Kalshi

If WTF GOIN ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos United States chart dated Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settles on: YouTube Charts.

Market says (typical open contract)

48%

Median YES price across 30 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

95% 😈

Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
30¢	1.5¢	$2.45	31.5%
47¢ (now)	1.7¢	$1.86	48.7%
50¢	1.8¢	$1.75	51.7%
70¢	1.5¢	$1.05	71.5%
90¢	0.6¢	$0.35	90.6%

Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Will WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · WTF GOIN	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Tom MacDonald - "Talk To God" rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Tom MacDonald - "Talk To God"	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Todo Lo Fue	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Tina Tuesday rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Tina Tuesday	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will take me home (4 christmas) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · take me home (4 christmas)	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will POKITO rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · POKITO	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Mr. Do Something rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Mr. Do Something	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Janice STFU rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Janice STFU	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will I'm The Prize rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · I'm The Prize	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Dai Dai	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Choosin' Texas rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Choosin' Texas	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will BbY WOW rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · BbY WOW	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will Alma Rota rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · Alma Rota	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition)	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will AH HA rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 10, 2026? · AH HA	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 11, 04:59 UTC
Will WTF GOIN rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · WTF GOIN	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Tom MacDonald - "Talk To God" rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · Tom MacDonald - "Talk To God"	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Todo Lo Fue rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · Todo Lo Fue	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Tina Tuesday rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · Tina Tuesday	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will The Midterms rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · The Midterms	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will take me home (4 christmas) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · take me home (4 christmas)	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will POKITO rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · POKITO	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Mr. Do Something rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · Mr. Do Something	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will DEPENDS rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · DEPENDS	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Dai Dai rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · Dai Dai	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Choosin' Texas rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · Choosin' Texas	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will BOTZ rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · BOTZ	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition) rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · All I Want for Christmas Is You (Make My Wish Come True Edition)	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will AH HA rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · AH HA	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC
Will Additup - Gangsta Btch \| From The Block Performance 🎙 rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos chart dated Nov 9, 2026? · Additup - Gangsta Btch \| From The Block Performance 🎙	48¢	48%	1.7¢	—	95%	Nov 10, 04:59 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.