Markets › Kalshi › Entertainment
highest daily views in time period on Kalshi
If Tate McRae has above 5M Global views on YouTube at any point during November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: YouTube Charts.
Market says (typical open contract)
66%
Median YES price across 236 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
68% 😈
Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 66¢ (now) | 1.6¢ | $1.19 | 67.6% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Taylor Swift have above 13.1M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13.1M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 11,384 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny have above 22M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 22M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,130 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fuerza Regida have above 14M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 14M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 10,018 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 2.7M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 2.7M | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,926 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fuerza Regida have above 11M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 11M | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 9,795 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fuerza Regida have above 13M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,452 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny have above 22.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 22.5M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 9,220 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 3.6M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 3.6M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,931 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fuerza Regida have above 12M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 12M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,918 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 3.8M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 3.8M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,542 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Justin Bieber have above 14.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 14.5M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,394 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 4.1M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 4.1M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 8,022 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift have above 13.3M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13.3M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,960 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift have above 13.4M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13.4M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,920 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 3.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 3.5M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,816 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny have above 25M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 25M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,732 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny have above 23.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 23.5M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 7,329 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 3.9M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 3.9M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,889 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 2.6M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 2.6M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,855 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny have above 24M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 24M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,537 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 4M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 4M | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 6,522 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo have above 8M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 8M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 6,443 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Weeknd have above 13M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,363 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift have above 13.2M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13.2M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,344 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ariana Grande have above 13M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 6,261 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift have above 13.6M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13.6M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,841 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 3.7M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 3.7M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,510 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake have above 11.75M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 11.75M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,386 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will The Weeknd have above 14M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 14M | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 5,262 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Taylor Swift have above 13.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13.5M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 5,258 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Tate McRae have above 3.4M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 3.4M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 5,077 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake have above 12M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 12M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,998 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Fuerza Regida have above 15M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 15M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.2¢ | — | 5% | 4,682 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake have above 11.25M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 11.25M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,540 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Drake have above 11M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 11M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 4,490 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Bad Bunny have above 24.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 24.5M | 98¢ | 98% | 0.1¢ | — | 3% | 3,859 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Future have above 4.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 4.5M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,836 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Future have above 5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 5M | 99¢ | 99% | 0.1¢ | — | 2% | 3,805 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will Ariana Grande have above 13.5M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 13.5M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,755 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
| Will KATSEYE have above 12M daily views at any point during November 2026? · Above 12M | 100¢ | 100% | 0.0¢ | — | 1% | 3,251 | Dec 04, 15:00 UTC |
Showing the 40 most traded of 236 open contracts.
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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