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Zeta Annual KPI on Kalshi
If Zeta Global Holdings Corp. reports Above 232 super-scaled customers ( $1m) in Fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles on: Fiscal.ai.
Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 8 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
99% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.
The cover charge
| If you buy at | Fee per contract | On $50 | Win rate to break even |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 1.5¢ | $2.45 | 31.5% |
| 50¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.75 | 51.7% |
| 51¢ (now) | 1.7¢ | $1.72 | 52.7% |
| 70¢ | 1.5¢ | $1.05 | 71.5% |
| 90¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | 90.6% |
Resting orders pay no fee on this series. Formula: 7% × contracts × price × (1 − price), rounded up, on orders that take liquidity. Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.
Open contracts right now
| Contract | YES price | Implied | Fee at this price | Real-world odds | Luck needed | Volume | Closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 216 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 216 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 400 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 204 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 204 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 138 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 228 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 228 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 92 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 220 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 220 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.8¢ | — | 100% | 70 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 232 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 232 | 12¢ | 12% | 0.7¢ | — | 23% | 11 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 212 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 212 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 5 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 224 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 224 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
| Will Zeta Global Holdings Corp. report Above 208 super-scaled customers (>$1m) in 2026? · Above 208 | 50¢ | 50% | 1.7¢ | — | 99% | 0 | May 02, 05:00 UTC |
Who actually wins this market
- Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
- The venue, on every fee.
- Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.
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