What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 2¢, about 0¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $4.66.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 2% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 2%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

Caden Veltkamp on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if Caden Veltkamp records the most passing touchdowns in the 2026 college football regular season. Statistics are based on official regular season games only. Conference championship games, bowl games, and college football playoff games do not count. If two or more players tie, each tied player's market will settle at $1.00 divided by the number of tied players. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body.

Market says (typical open contract)

Median YES price across 274 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

4% 😈

All but decided, says the market. The remaining cents are the price of the rare surprise, and the fee comes off them first.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
2¢ (now)	0.2¢	$4.66	2.2%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
Caden Veltkamp	36¢	36%	2.2¢	—	72%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Owen McCown	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Keelon Russell	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Conner Weigman	13¢	13%	1.1¢	—	26%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Sam Leavitt	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Marcel Reed	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Dante Moore	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Noah Fifita	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Beau Sparks	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Jackson Harris	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Bear Bachmeier	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Julian Sayin	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Dallas Wilson	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Chris Dawn Jr.	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
CJ Bailey	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Amare Thomas	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
DJ Lagway	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Duce Robinson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Avery Johnson	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Danny Scudero	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
T.J. Moore	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Byrum Brown	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Malachi Henry	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Rocco Becht	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Ian Strong	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Arch Manning	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Chase Hendricks	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Gunner Stockton	12¢	12%	1.0¢	—	24%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Omarion Miller	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Nico Iamaleava	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Jordan Dwyer	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
John Mateer	2¢	2%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Mike Matthews	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Darian Mensah	98¢	98%	0.2¢	—	4%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Junior Sherrill	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Jayden Maiava	16¢	16%	1.3¢	—	32%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Jordan Shipp	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Will Hammond	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC
Jayce Brown	1¢	1%	0.1¢	—	2%	Dec 13, 04:00 UTC

Showing the 40 most traded of 274 open contracts.

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.