What is the fee on Polymarket US for this market?

At the current typical price of 25¢, about 2¢ per contract (9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity, the rate for accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume since 6 November 2026; 6.95% in a new account's first week). On a $50 trade that is about $3.56.

What win rate do I need to break even?

About 27% if you hold to settlement, against a market price of 25%. The gap is the fee.

Markets › Polymarket US › Sports

NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points on Polymarket US

This market will settle to Yes if the Winnipeg Jets record 100 or more points in the 2026-2027 NHL regular season. If the 2026-2027 NHL season is cancelled, suspended, or shortened such that the outcome cannot be determined, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from NHL.

Market says (typical open contract)

25%

Median YES price across 32 open contracts, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.

Real-world odds

—

No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.

Luck needed meter

50% 😈

Half luck. The favorite is clear, the fee is not small, and the payout on the favorite is thin.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy at	Fee per contract	On $50	Win rate to break even
25¢ (now)	1.8¢	$3.56	26.8%
30¢	2.0¢	$3.32	32.0%
50¢	2.4¢	$2.38	52.4%
70¢	2.0¢	$1.43	72.0%
90¢	0.9¢	$0.47	90.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

How long until your balance is $0 in this market? →

Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
Contract	YES price	Implied	Fee at this price	Real-world odds	Luck needed	Closes
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	45¢	45%	2.4¢	—	90%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	61¢	61%	2.3¢	—	78%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	4¢	4%	0.4¢	—	8%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	62¢	62%	2.2¢	—	76%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	25¢	25%	1.8¢	—	50%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	78¢	78%	1.6¢	—	44%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	7¢	7%	0.6¢	—	14%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	10¢	10%	0.9¢	—	20%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	47¢	47%	2.4¢	—	94%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	20¢	20%	1.5¢	—	40%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	11¢	11%	0.9¢	—	22%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	79¢	79%	1.6¢	—	42%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	15¢	15%	1.2¢	—	30%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	60¢	60%	2.3¢	—	80%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	86¢	86%	1.1¢	—	28%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	21¢	21%	1.6¢	—	42%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	59¢	59%	2.3¢	—	82%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	75¢	75%	1.8¢	—	50%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	6¢	6%	0.5¢	—	12%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	71¢	71%	2.0¢	—	58%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	72¢	72%	1.9¢	—	56%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	3¢	3%	0.3¢	—	6%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	8¢	8%	0.7¢	—	16%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	14¢	14%	1.1¢	—	28%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	93¢	93%	0.6¢	—	14%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	39¢	39%	2.3¢	—	78%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	57¢	57%	2.3¢	—	86%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC
NHL Teams 100+ Regular Season Points	24¢	24%	1.7¢	—	48%	Apr 25, 03:00 UTC

Who actually wins this market

Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
The venue, on every fee.
Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

Still want to play? Read the deal first: what the account asks for, what the bonus really is, and whether we are paid. Vendors sell bots for markets like this one; see the bot benchmark before you pay for one.