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Royal Desert Champions vs UAE Bulls (cricket), November 11 on Polymarket US

This market will settle to the winner of the Royal Desert Champions vs UAE Bulls Abu Dhabi T10 match scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 8:45AM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). A Super Over or other official tie-breaker is included if played, and the market will settle to the winner it produces. If the first ball is bowled and the match ends in a tie, draw, or no result (including abandonment or cancellation with no official winner declared) and no Super Over or official tie-breaker is played, the market will settle to $0.50. If the first ball is bowled and a team then concedes, refuses to continue, or is disqualified, the market will settle to the team officially decla

Market says (typical open contract)
50%
Median YES price across 1 open contract, 10 Nov 2026 04:28 UTC.
Real-world odds
—
No independent base rate yet. Until we connect one (sportsbook consensus, forecasts, the score), the market's own price is the best public forecast, and the fee sits on top of it.
Luck needed meter
100% 😈
Mostly luck. The market itself expects the favorite to lose this often; the fee is the only certainty.

The cover charge

Fee and break-even by purchase price
If you buy atFee per contractOn $50Win rate to break even
30¢2.0¢$3.3232.0%
50¢ (now)2.4¢$2.3852.4%
70¢2.0¢$1.4372.0%
90¢0.9¢$0.4790.9%

Resting (maker) orders pay nothing; orders that take liquidity pay the fee. Formula: 9.5% × price × (1 − price) per share on orders that take liquidity (accounts under $10,000 of 30-day volume; 6.95% in a new account's first week and above $250,000). Break-even assumes you hold to settlement; trading out early pays the fee twice.

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Open contracts right now

Open contracts in this series with price, implied probability, volume and close time
ContractYES priceImpliedFee at this priceReal-world oddsLuck neededVolumeCloses
Who will win in the upcoming cricket event Royal Desert Champions vs UAE Bulls scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 1:45 PM UTC?50¢50%2.4¢—100%0Nov 25, 13:45 UTC

Who actually wins this market

  • Whoever posts the resting orders and collects the spread without paying a fee.
  • The venue, on every fee.
  • Not, on average, the person clicking buy because the chart is going their way. That was us.

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